North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
41  Joanna Thompson SR 19:45
103  Erika Kemp SO 20:04
191  Mary Grace Doggett FR 20:21
276  Megan Moye SO 20:33
354  Kenyetta Iyevbele SR 20:42
361  Samantha George JR 20:43
491  Bianca Bishop FR 20:55
512  Alexa Harvey JR 20:57
850  Lauren Velasco FR 21:23
899  Olivia Enright JR 21:26
1,543  Esther Fisher SO 22:06
2,115  Erin Foshee JR 22:41
National Rank #22 of 341
Southeast Region Rank #4 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 90.6%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 6.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 46.3%


Regional Champion 7.2%
Top 5 in Regional 97.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Joanna Thompson Erika Kemp Mary Grace Doggett Megan Moye Kenyetta Iyevbele Samantha George Bianca Bishop Alexa Harvey Lauren Velasco Olivia Enright Esther Fisher
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 545 19:41 20:05 20:14 20:44 20:52 20:17 20:57 20:53 21:26
Blue Ridge Open Meet 10/17 21:24 22:02 22:17
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 523 19:46 19:49 20:10 20:28 20:37 20:52 20:58
ACC Championships 10/31 669 19:52 20:23 20:29 20:47 20:43 20:26 20:41 21:02 21:21
3 Stripe Invite 11/08 1215 21:24 21:02 21:52
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 583 19:51 20:05 20:34 20:31 20:17 21:12 21:00
NCAA Championship 11/22 565 19:34 20:00 20:22 20:20 21:13 20:53 21:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 90.6% 20.0 497 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.6 1.8 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.4 4.0 4.0 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.8 5.7 4.8 4.7 5.2 4.5 4.3 3.8 3.8 3.5 2.2 1.8
Region Championship 100% 3.5 116 7.2 13.1 23.0 39.1 15.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joanna Thompson 99.5% 47.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.4
Erika Kemp 91.4% 92.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Mary Grace Doggett 90.6% 141.1
Megan Moye 90.6% 172.8
Kenyetta Iyevbele 90.6% 192.9
Samantha George 90.6% 196.6
Bianca Bishop 90.6% 218.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joanna Thompson 3.5 18.0 13.3 13.0 10.5 8.6 7.1 6.7 5.6 4.4 3.4 2.3 2.0 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Erika Kemp 11.4 0.5 1.7 2.7 3.3 4.3 4.4 6.1 5.8 5.7 7.0 5.7 6.4 6.0 5.5 4.2 4.0 3.3 3.6 3.1 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.0
Mary Grace Doggett 23.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.7 4.0 3.4 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.1
Megan Moye 34.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 1.8 3.0 2.8
Kenyetta Iyevbele 43.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.1
Samantha George 45.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8
Bianca Bishop 57.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 7.2% 100.0% 7.2 7.2 1
2 13.1% 100.0% 13.1 13.1 2
3 23.0% 99.7% 0.7 1.2 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.3 2.2 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 22.9 3
4 39.1% 98.4% 0.7 1.8 3.0 3.9 5.4 5.6 5.0 4.3 3.3 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.6 38.5 4
5 15.2% 58.4% 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.5 6.3 8.9 5
6 1.8% 1.1% 0.0 1.8 0.0 6
7 0.5% 0.5 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 90.6% 7.2 13.1 0.7 1.9 3.9 6.0 7.3 9.6 9.8 8.4 7.2 6.0 4.9 3.1 1.6 9.4 20.3 70.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Ohio State 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 82.3% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
Boston College 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Notre Dame 49.0% 2.0 1.0
BYU 42.7% 1.0 0.4
Princeton 19.9% 2.0 0.4
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Penn State 17.1% 2.0 0.3
Tulsa 7.4% 2.0 0.1
Lamar 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 2.0 0.1
Virginia Tech 4.1% 1.0 0.0
Yale 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Rice 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.6
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 15.0